Thursday, May 5, 2011

Sergio Romo is Historically Good

I was looking at Sergio Romo's Baseball-Reference page earlier today, and was fascinated by his K/BB ratio -- 4.65; that's his career K/BB. And his career ERA+, 168, isn't too shabby, either.

In fact, these numbers are historically good. Here's the list of pitchers from 1901 to 2011 (min. 100 IP) to post a career K/BB ratio of 4.5+ and an ERA+ of 150 or greater --

Rk        Player Year ERA+ SO/BB    IP From   To   Age  
                                                                                                                                  
1    Sergio Romo 2011  168  4.65 139.1 2008 2011 25-28  

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/5/2011.

That's it. Sergio Romo is the only pitcher in history to do that...so far, at least. Granted, the cutoffs are highly arbitrary, and the innings limit is quite low.

Still, I think this fosters greater appreciation for Romo -- who, by the way, has looked incredible in his 13 appearances thus far. He's currently sporting a K/BB of 14.00 to go along with an ERA+ of 422.

Romo won't be a free agent until 2015, and it would make a lot of sense for him to step into the closer role when Brian Wilson leaves.

Look at what we get when the cutoffs are expanded. Here are relievers (min. 100 IP) with a career K/BB of 3.5+ and an ERA+ above 135:

Rk Player Year ERA+ SO/BB IP From To Age
1 Trevor Hoffman 2010 141 3.69 1089.1 1993 2010 25-42
2 Mariano Rivera 2011 205 3.95 1164.2 1995 2011 25-41
3 Billy Wagner 2010 187 3.99 903.0 1995 2010 23-38
4 Jonathan Papelbon 2011 206 4.09 377.1 2005 2011 24-30
5 Keith Foulke 2008 140 3.70 786.2 1997 2008 24-35
6 Huston Street 2011 150 3.81 395.0 2005 2011 21-27
7 Joakim Soria 2011 207 3.79 267.2 2007 2011 23-27
8 Takashi Saito 2011 196 3.93 301.1 2006 2011 36-41
9 Andrew Bailey 2010 255 3.59 132.1 2009 2010 25-26
10 Neftali Feliz 2011 191 3.74 108.2 2009 2011 21-23
11 Rafael Betancourt 2011 139 4.38 510.0 2003 2011 28-36
12 Sergio Romo 2011 168 4.65 139.1 2008 2011 25-28
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/5/2011.

He's in company with some of the elite closers of this era.

Romo definitely doesn't get the respect he deserves, but he'd actually be a suitable replacement for Brian Wilson. I have enough trust in Romo (and his historically great numbers) that I'd be in favor of not offering Wilson a lucrative deal when his contract expires after 2012.



Follow SP on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook