Thursday, January 6, 2011

Peek at the Prospects: Brandon Belt

The internet is rife with analysis on the Giants' top prospects -- most notably Fangraphs and Minor League Ball. On January 26, Baseball America will release their San Francisco Giants Top Ten Prospects Scouting Reports. Leading up to that, I thought I'd take a peek at various Giants prospects, referencing the analysis from Fangraphs, Minor League Ball, and the Giants 2011 ZiPS projections. For now, I plan on looking at the following players (in no particular order):


It's very possible that I'll expand the list, however, and look at others like Hector Sanchez, Jorge Bucardo, Chuckie Jones, etc.

Without further ado, I'll begin with the guy at the top of every Giants prospect list....Brandon Belt

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Position: 1B
Opening Day Age: 22
John Sickels' Grade: A-
Fangraphs Estimated Peak WAR: 5.5
ZiPS Projection: .266/.357/.440


Belt is the cream of the crop when it comes to the Giants' farm system. He rapidly rose through the Giants' minor league system last year, raking to the tune of .352/.455/.620 slash line in A, AA, and AAA combined. Thanks to mechanical adjustments in his plate approach, the 2009 fifth-rounder was able to display a combination of excellent plate discipline, contact skills, and power. He even stole 22 bases last season; make no mistake, though -- as Marc Hulet of Fangraphs notes, "he succeeded on the base paths due to smart base running as opposed to blazing speed." Belt is the real deal, and should be ready to make an impact in the majors right away in 2011.

I think the following comments speak for themselves...
"Oh yeah, ZiPS loves Brandon Belt and at least in the short term has him as the best 1B prospect in baseball." - Dan Szymborski
"Totally legitimate in my opinion, and second-only to Eric Hosmer among first base prospects." - John Sickels

For more on Belt, check out his interview with Mychael Urban.