Showing posts with label Freddy Sanchez. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Freddy Sanchez. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

San Francisco Giants - 2011 ZiPS Projections

Dan Szymborski released his 2011 ZiPS projections.

Highlights for me:
  • Nate Schierholtz is projected to hit better than Mark DeRosa. This is no surprise, obviously, with DeRosa coming off of wrist surgery, but it's still interesting. If there's an outfield spot open, I'd much rather see the trio of Ross/Torres/Schierholtz out there than DeRosa/Torres/Ross. 
  • Brandon Belt: .266/.357/.440 
  • Freddy Sanchez...he's aging, but I think he can do better than his projection of .278/.320/.386

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Looking Back at the 2010 Giants Projections

To say that 2010 was a season full of surprises would be an understatement: Pablo Sandoval and Tim Lincecum had disappointing sesasons; Mark DeRosa was injured after playing in only 26 games; Andres Torres and Aubrey Huff played far beyond expectations, putting up all-star caliber numbers; and Buster Posey had no trouble whatsoever in adjusting to the majors, becoming an elite catcher from day one (his debut). Lastly, the Giants picked up some phenomenal players on the way, namely Cody Ross, Javier Lopez, and Pat Burrell. Now that we've looked at (and made) projections for the 2011 season, I thought it'd be fun to take a look back at how certain Giants were expected to perform in 2010 (and compare it to their actual performance). This will give context to how surprising 2010 really was. For the purposes of this, I'll use ZiPS projections, one of the most well-respected projection systems out there. If you want to take a look at the 2010 ZiPS projections, they are available here.

Pablo Sandoval
Projected - .320/.368/.516; OPS+ 130
Actual - .268/.323/.409; OPS+ 95

Aubrey Huff
Projected - .270/.330/.448; OPS+ 102
Actual - .290/.385/.506; OPS+ 138

Aaron Rowand
Projected - .273/.335/.431; OPS+ 100
Actual - .230/.281/.378; OPS+ 75

Buster Posey
Projected - .263/.343/.398; OPS+ 95
Actual - .305/.357/.505; OPS+ 129

Freddy Sanchez
Projected - .296/.331/.414; OPS+ 95
Actual - .292/.342/.397; OPS+ 98

Edgar Renteria
Projected - .280/.336/.388; OPS+ 90
Actual - .276/.332/.374; OPS+ 90

Juan Uribe
Projected - .269/.311/.442; OPS+ 95
Actual - .248/.310/.440; OPS+ 99

Andres Torres

Projected - .254/.315/.397; OPS+ 86
Actual - .268/.343/.479; OPS+ 119

As can be seen from these comparisons, which look at only eight of the Giants, there were many surprises. Torres, Huff, and Posey far exceeded expectations; on the other hand, Rowand and Sandoval far underperformed. All in all, the Giants ended up playing much better than expected, taking home a World Series trophy with an offense that, before the season began, was the subject of ample criticism.

Monday, December 27, 2010

2011 Giants Hitting Projections

So far, Fangraphs has posted the Bill James projections and the Fans projections. I thought it'd be fun to project the slash lines and home run numbers of the Giants' (presumable) starting eight (along with our personal commentary on our projections). I'd love to hear input from readers...post your own projections in the comments, or simply gives us your take on our projections...

We're Giants fans, so our projections are probably biased, but whatever.

Buster Posey:
  • Bill James - .308/.370/.506; 21 HRs
  • Fans - .304/.374/.483; 20 HRs
  • Julian Levine - .310/.380/.500; 25 HRs...I don't expect much to change with Posey, with the exception of an improved walk rate.
  • Zachary Chiang - .290/.360/.490; 20 HRs...More patience, less power. Might tire down the stretch.

Aubrey Huff:
  • Bill James - .269/.348/.453; 19 HRs
  • Fans - .282/.358/.456; 21 HRs
  • Julian Levine - .280/.350/.460; 18 HRs...I expect a natural decline in Huff's numbers from his stellar 2009 campaign, but I think he'll remain solid. He won't be a major home run threat, especially playing in AT&T Park, and his walk rate will probably decline from his peak '09 season, but he'll still be an impact bat in the heart of the lineup.
  • Zachary Chiang - .275/.360/.460; 20 HRs...Basically a repeat of last year, minus a scorching July.

Freddy Sanchez:
  • Bill James - .285/.330/.401; 8 HRs
  • Fans - .290/.336/.385; 6 HRs
  • Julian Levine - .290/.340/.400; 7 HRs...I don't really expect Sanchez's numbers to change much at all from his '09 numbers. Rather, I expect his consistency to improve. He had a hot August that raised his numbers a bit, after he had had a prolonged slump; I expect fewer up's and down's in 2010.
  • Zachary Chiang - .295/.340/.400; 10 HRs..Hoping he can improve on a career best walk rate.

Pablo Sandoval:
  • Bill James - .308/.363/.492; 18 HRs
  • Fans - .295/.345/.476; 19 HRs
  • Julian Levine - .310/.375/.510; 20 HRs...Sandoval's a polarizing figure. Some say he'll play like he did in '10, which was rather mediocre and disappointing; others say he'll play like he did in '09 -- all-star caliber hitting. I lean towards the optimistic side. I think he'll hit for a high average with good power. AT&T Park will definitely take a few home runs away from him, so I expect a lot of doubles -- like 40-50.
  • Zachary Chiang - .290/.330/.450; 20 HRs...Bounces back to somewhere between '09 and '10.

Miguel Tejada:
  • Bill James -.279/.324/.415; 17 HRs
  • Fans - .272/.311/.389; 13 HRs
  • Julian Levine - .280/.320/.405; 12 HRs...low walk rate, doubles power, decent average.
  • Zachary Chiang - .275/.320/.400; 15 HRs...Amazing comeback isn't that likely. Solid, if anything.

Pat Burrell:
  • Bill James - .237/.351/.443; 20 HRs
  • Fans - .255/.350/.440; 19 HRs
  • Julian Levine - .250/.350/.440; 17 HRs...exceptional walk rate, good power.
  • Zachary Chiang - .240/.320/.450; 20 HRs...Not much confidence after weak postseason performance.

Andres Torres:
  • Bill James - .271/.340/.440; 14 HRs
  • Fans - .270/.343/.420; 12 HRs
  • Julian Levine - .270/.340/.460; 15 HRs..I'm a believer in Torres. In 740 PAs in 2009 and 2010, he posted an ISO of .223...I don't think my projected ISO of .190 is extremely optimistic.
  • Zachary Chiang - .260/.330/.420; 10 HRs..A little bit low, but I think some pitchers will figure him out.

Cody Ross:
  • Bill James - .265/.321/.444; 18 HRs
  • Fans - .274/.335/.446; 19 HRs
  • Julian Levine - .270/.330/.460; 20 HRs...Okay, I got a little crazy here. But I don't know. I feel like he has some legitimate power, and it will just come flowing out in 2010. Lots of doubles, and lots of home runs (yes, I just called 20 home runs "lots of home runs". Gee, I miss Barry Bonds...)  I think the fact that he has decent speed will help give a little boost to his power numbers, as he'll stretch several singles into doubles.
  • Zachary Chiang - .275/.320/.430; 15 HRs...Will be hard for him to meet unrealistic expectations.


Looking at the projections, it seems the Giants have five guys with decent potential to hit 20 HRs...they don't have any sluggers, but they have nice power throughout the lineup. It's certainly enough offense to support that stellar rotation (which we'll project some time in the near future).

Sunday, December 26, 2010

Pat the BBat [sic]

I recently got a subscription to MLB.TV, and as such, watched the first game of the World Series once more. What I mostly got out of it was a refreshed confidence in Pat Burrell. Burrell didn't do much in the game, striking out thrice (yes, I just said 'thrice') in three at-bats; yet, I feel as though he played a crucial role in helping the Giants win the game. The one thing he did in that game: draw a walk.

It wasn't just any walk, though; it was a walk from Cliff Lee. Coming into the at-bat, Lee had walked just one hitter in the postseason. In fact, during the entire season, Lee allowed a mere 18 walks for a sparkling BB/9 of 0.76...

So Burrell comes to the plate in the bottom of the fifth inning with two outs, and the game at a close 3-2. If he were to strike out then and there, well, the game would remain tight, and who knows what would've happened? Lee would've exited the inning without much damage -- just an RBI double to Freddy Sanchez -- and it would have been torturous. But Burrell didn't strike out. He worked the count, something that's very difficult to do against the almighty Cliff Lee. He worked the count full, then he drew a walk. Not only did he get several pitches out of Lee (I believe the best way to attack Lee is to raise his pitch count as soon as possible), but he extended the inning. And guess who came up after him? The NLCS MVP. I don't like to place importance on the intangibles, but I believe this momentum was crucial. If you're Lee, you had a chance to get out of the inning, and failed. Not only did you fail, but you wasted eight (or was it seven?) pitches in doing so. And now, as you're losing the first game of the World Series by a score of 3-2, you must face Cody Ross, the NLCS MVP, with two runners on. Oh yeah, and in the midst of your tense battle with Pat Burrell, your manager sent Darren O'Day to go warm up, implying that he doesn't completely trust that you can get out of the inning. Well, maybe, just maybe, that walk gave the Giants huge momentum.

Because after that walk, Ross and Aubrey Huff hit RBI singles, knocking Lee out of the game. Then O'Day came in to relieve him, and gave up a three-run homer to Juan Uribe.

Had Burrell struck out to end the inning, the Giants would be winning 3-2. Instead, they finished the inning with an 8-2 lead, and more importantly, Cliff Lee sulking on the bench. Thinking about this, I'm able to ignore the fact that he was atrocious overall in the World Series, and had a WPA of -9.5% for Game One. That walk just meant more to me than the numbers, even though it's seemingly illogical.

I'm admittedly biased because I have a love affair with walks. Perhaps it's because I've been so deprived of walks with players like Bengie Molina, while the team across the bay has high-walk players like Daric Barton (who had the highest walk rate in the majors), and now Josh Willingham and Hideki Matsui. But I digress.

That walk, in spite of all of the other at-bats Burrell had in the World Series -- which, I'll admit, were difficult to watch -- makes me happy to have Burrell returning to San Francisco.

Walks are highly critical yet underappreciated. They don't carry the same excitement as a hit, but they're still invaluable. For perspective: the Giants had the tenth-lowest walk rate in the majors in 2010. Of the nine teams with worse walk rates than the Giants, zero made the playoffs. Now, of course, correlation does not imply causation. But certainly, it means something, that not one of the nine teams with the worst walk rates in the majors made the playoffs.

In terms of walks, Huff and Burrell carried the Giants, with respective rates of 12.4% and 13.8%. Huff's rate will probably decline, as it was his first-ever 10+% walk rate, so Burrell (career 14.3% walk rate) will need to carry the team in that aspect.

I love that he walks so much, as it makes him an asset to the team. (In fact, I love it so much, that I'm willing to ignore the fact that he has more World Series rings than hits.) Then, I think about the fact that he's coming back on a one-year $1MM deal without any incentives. And I want to construct brilliant prose in honor of Pat the Bat's greatness...perhaps a take-off on the Cat in the Hat. It's just begging to be written. Ah, but I'm not that creative. So I'll just leave this picture here, for all to admire.

Friday, December 10, 2010

Notes...

Apologies for the relative inactivity lately...in my defense, though, the Giants have been relatively inactive lately...

Friday, December 3, 2010

Giants Have Interest in Renteria....Seriously?

According to John Shea, there's mutual interest between the San Francisco Giants and their World Series hero Edgar Renteria.

Let's see here...the Giants have Mike Fontenot on a one-year deal. He can play short and second. They have Freddy Sanchez as their starting second baseman. They have Pablo Sandoval starting at third, and Miguel Tejada starting at short (he can also play third). Then they have Mark DeRosa at the utility role. He can play both middle infield positions that Renteria would supposedly play (shortstop, where he's lived his entire career, and second base, a position to which he recently said he's willing to switch). Then, of course, there's the younger guys, who to be honest, probably aren't the best options: Emmanuel Burriss and Ryan Rohlinger.

So to review...at short we have Tejada, Fontenot, and DeRosa. Do the Giants really need a fourth shortstop? And if so, are Burriss and Rohlinger truly incapable of being viable fourth shortstop options?

Then we have Sanchez, Fontenot, and DeRosa at second. Do the Giants really need a fourth second baseman? And if so, are Burriss and Rohlinger truly incapable of being viable fourth second baseman options?

The Giants don't really need another middle infielder. On top of that, it's simply a waste of money to sign Renteria again. Renteria has constantly battled injuries, he's not that fast anymore, his defense is quite mediocre, he's old, he can't hit for power, he can't hit for a high average, and he'd likely cost more than Burriss and Rohlinger combined. Plus, Burriss gives the Giants speed off of the bench.

So...I truly believe that Renteria will NOT man a Giants uniform next season. And if he does...well, I can't even begin to understand what is wrong with the Giants management.

Non-Tenders: Velez and Ray; Fontenot Signed to a One-Year Deal

Eugenio Velez and Chris Ray have not been offered contracts. Mike Fontenot was signed to a one-year deal worth just over $1MM, and all the other arbitration-eligible Giants (Cody Ross, Andres Torres, Santiago Casilla, Ramon Ramirez, Javier Lopez, and Jonathan Sanchez) have been tendered contracts. It's all here.

Fontenot's deal will not have incentives, and I can't really see it hurting the Giants at all. He'll provide them with a veteran middle-infield bat, and the fact that he's left-handed obviously presents value -- keep in mind that Freddy Sanchez has had some trouble against right-handed pitching...Fontenot doesn't particularly shine in any categories -- not a top defender, doesn't have great speed, not much power, doesn't hit for a high average -- but as a backup middle infielder, he'll be fine.

With the Giants in 2010, he produced -0.3 WAR, played mediocre defense, and didn't hit for much power at all (.282/.329/.310). I've always been bothered by hitters whose SLG is higher than their OBP, and Fontenot was one of those guys with the Giants. It's not like his .329 OBP is dazzling either, so it doesn't really justify the fact that it's higher than his SLG. Anyway, I'm sure he's a better player than this. He's not an impact bat, but he'll play average defense, and he'll give the Giants a back-up left-handed middle-infield bat -- useful, if you consider that the Giants' starting middle infielders will be right-handed hitters Miguel Tejada and Freddy Sanchez.

Ray and Velez could potentially be signed to minor-league deals, but we'll see. Their time as San Francisco Giants is likely over.

Friday, November 26, 2010

Twins Win Bidding for Nishioka. Good News for Giants?

The Twins have won the bidding for Japanese middle-infielder Tsuyoshi Nishioka. This could be good news for the Giants, though.

Nishioka is said to be a better fit at second base, but the Giants are looking for a guy who can play shortstop well. In 2010, Nishioka posted a slash line of .346/.423/.482, but that was in all likelihood a big fluke, as he had a BABIP of .389... Before that, his previous best was .300/.366/.463...This article by Patrick Newman of Fangraphs basically likens Nishioka to Chone Figgins and Ryan Theriot, both of whom had unimpressive campaigns in 2010. So Nishioka isn't that great...throw in the fees for bidding and signing him to a contract, and it's definitely too high of a price to pay for a relatively weak shortstop.

The good news here is that this increases the likelihood that J.J. Hardy becomes available on the trade market. Hardy is one of the best shortstop options currently available: he's one of the best defensive shortstops in the majors, with a career UZR/150 of 11.0, and his bat has great offensive upside. From 2007-2008, Hardy belted a total of 50 home runs, although he hasn't come near those numbers in the past couple of seasons. However, his Bill James projections see him hitting .263/.328/.425 next year with 16 home runs. Throw in the superb defense that he'll inevitably provide, and that is an extremely valuable shortstop. Even with his .268/.320/.394 slash line in 101 games in 2010, he managed to produce 2.4 WAR. Project that over a full season and his 2010 worth is at 3.5-4.0 WAR. But he's projected to improve upon those numbers. At this point, the Giants probably wouldn't even have to give up much to get him.

His excellent defense and significant offensive potential warrant serious consideration. A lineup of Buster Posey, Aubrey Huff, Freddy Sanchez, J.J. Hardy, Pablo Sandoval, Mark DeRosa, Andres Torres, and Cody Ross is a legitimate offense. Pair that with the incredible rotation that the Giants have, and I think they have the tools to win many games. And that's not even considering the eventual call-up of Brandon Belt.

Saturday, November 20, 2010

Was the Freddy Sanchez Acquisition Worth it?

In 2009, after being acquired by the Giants in exchange for Tim Alderson -- who had been ranked as the Giants' fourth-best prospect by Baseball America -- Freddy Sanchez didn't do much. He played 25 games, batted .284 without much power, and only drew two walks. His defense, nevertheless, was solid. Giants fans, however, were dissatisfied, as they had given up a promising arm in exchange for an injury-prone second-baseman without much speed nor power. The cost for that 2009 performance was roughly $2MM, not worth it by any measure.

In October of 2009, Freddy re-signed with the Giants on a two-year $12MM contract. To add insult to injury, (or I guess in this case, injury to insult), he started the 2010 season on the disabled list. Eventually, he played his first game of the season on May 19. By August 11, he hadn't put together much of a season. He was batting a dismal slash line of .255/.317/.319; that would, however, be the turning point, as he would go on to put up a .356/.402/.500 slash line for the month of August, and a .304/.340/.500 slash line for September/October. Sanchez was starting to look like the second baseman that had won a batting title in 2006. He finished the regular season with decent numbers: .292/.342/.397 with seven home runs and 2.7 Wins Above Replacement. It wasn't terrific production, but for a second baseman with a great glove, it was certainly worth $6MM. Fangraphs estimates his 2010 production value at $10.6 MM, and in the World Series he demonstrated that value, playing slick defense throughout, and hitting three doubles in Game One.

Looking back now, it's easy to say that his acquisition was worth it. Although things weren't looking great around August, he had a major turn-around at that point, and his glove had been consistently great throughout his tenure with the Giants. Meanwhile, Tim Alderson, the price of acquiring Freddy, has not done much of anything for the Pirates. In 2009, he put up a 4.66 ERA in seven AA starts, and in 2010, he had a 5.62 ERA in 18 AA starts.

Needless to say, the acquisition of Freddy Sanchez was a gamble. The Giants gave up a top-notch prospect in order to acquire the injury-prone nearly-powerless second baseman, but it turned out that they got one of the key players that brought them a 2010 World Series title.

He has one year remaining on his contract -- he'll be making $6MM in 2011. His Bill James projections predict modest numbers for him next season -- a .285/.330/.401 slash line. If he does put up those offensive numbers, and remains healthy throughout the season -- playing the same quality defense that he has over the past two seasons, he will definitely be worth $6MM.

At this point, though, he doesn't even have to do much to justify this acquisition. He played an important role in bringing home that 2010 World Series trophy, and that is of the utmost importance. Had Tim Alderson done anything for the Pirates, it might be a different story. But acquiring Sanchez was a good move, and paying him $12MM over two years also appears to have been the right move.

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Marlins Plan on Trading Uggla

According to Ken Rosenthal, the Florida Marlins plan on trading 2B Dan Uggla after failed extension talks. The San Francisco Giants, of course, are listed as one of the eight potential suitors for the 2010 Silver Slugger. Many Giants fans are salivating at the idea of acquiring the two-time all star, but there's plenty of reasons not to go after him.

First of all, there's no room for him. As long as Pablo Sandoval gets in shape, and Freddy Sanchez remains injury-free, third base and second base are occupied. There is of course, a vacant starting job at first base, but that will likely go to Aubrey Huff. Many fans might wish to see Uggla starting at third instead of Pablo, but I'm sure he'd put up similarly great numbers -- he could easily hit above .300 with solid power (maybe 25 homers).

Secondly, he's costly. Uggla will likely get $10MM this year and then his contract is up. So what do the Giants do then? Sign him to an extension? He already turned down a 4yr/$48MM extension offer from the Florida Marlins, so what does this mean? He could make a huge dent in the Giants payroll for the next several years.

Third of all, his defense is atrocious. His career UZR/150 is -4.5, but in recent years, his defense has gotten even worse. He'll likely move to first base within a few years. That's huge. The reason he is so valuable is because his offensive production is rare, coming from a second baseman. If he moves to first base, he loses a lot of that value. Also, the Giants have an up-and-coming first baseman in their farm system by the name of Brandon Belt. The Giants probably want to have a spot available for him when he's called up to the majors -- rather than occupying first base for the next four to five years.

This isn't even including what the Giants would potentially give up to have Uggla for one year. They'd likely have to part ways with one or more great prospects -- a myopic move for any GM of a team that has just won the World Series.

So anyway, there's no need for Dan Uggla. The Giants could get great offensive production out of Pablo Sandoval for a much, much, much lower cost. And Uggla is expensive -- it would not be wise for the Giants to take on his contract unless they're going to make him an everyday player. Lastly, his defense is just bad. If they were to put him at first base, assuming they don't re-sign Huff, there will be no room for the promising Brandon Belt when he receives his call-up.

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Monday, November 8, 2010

Freddy Sanchez to appear on Lopez Tonight

Freddy Sanchez will appear on Lopez Tonight on Tuesday night. I'll post a link/video of his appearance...It will air on TBS at midnight for those that want to catch it.

Monday, November 1, 2010

Freddy Sanchez

This just deserves its own post...

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

WS Game One Recap

What a game...

Let's start with the pitching matchup:

Tim Lincecum did not pitch well. There's no getting around it...his final line -- 5.2 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K. Any game where Lincecum goes 5+ innings and manages just three strikeouts is a bad game, for him. He's only done that six times in his career. It's quite excusable, though, considering the offensive outburst the Giants had, the somewhat sloppy defense played behind him, and the fact that he's facing one of the best offenses in the majors.

Cliff Lee, who came into this game with tons of hype (considering his career postseason dominance), but had a terrible start: 4.2 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 7 K. In all fairness, he had the large gap created in right field due to Vladimir Guerrero's poor range, but it didn't seem to play a big role in his disaster of a game. Most of the hits he allowed were right up the middle, indicating that the Giants were timing his pitches very well.

Lee entered the game with a 0.75 postseason ERA in 2010. His 2010 postseason ERA is now 2.51

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This isn't the first time the Giants have done well against an elite starting pitcher. They've put up crooked numbers against some of the best in the game this year. Here are some notable incidences:

4/26 Roy Halladay - 7 IP, 5 ER
5/8 Johan Santana - 7.2 IP, 4 ER
7/3 Ubaldo Jimenez - 6 IP, 7 ER
9/12 Mat Latos - 4 IP, 5 ER
10/8 Tommy Hanson - 4 IP, 4 ER
10/16 Roy Halladay - 7 IP, 4 ER
10/28 Cliff Lee - 4.2 IP, 6 ER

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Player of the game? The guy who used this as his walk-up music. Freddy Sanchez.

Sanchez went 4 for 5 with three doubles, two runs, three RBIs. He became the 13th player in World Series history to have three doubles in a single game. He came close to tying the record with a fourth double, but his final hit was ruled a single with an error by Vladimir Guerrero.

Most Doubles in a World Series Game:
Player Date Series Tm 2B
Frank Isbell 1906-10-13 WS CHW 4
Jacoby Ellsbury 2007-10-27 WS BOS 3
David Eckstein 2006-10-26 WS STL 3
Craig Biggio 2005-10-08 NLDS HOU 3
Trot Nixon 2004-10-27 WS BOS 3
Jim Edmonds 2000-10-05 NLDS STL 3
Bret Boone 1999-10-26 WS ATL 3
Fred McGriff 1995-10-11 NLCS ATL 3
Jim Gilliam 1953-10-03 WS BRO 3
Al Dark 1951-10-08 WS NYG 3
Hank Greenberg 1945-10-07 WS DET 3
Max Carey 1925-10-15 WS PIT 3
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/27/2010.

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Bengie Molina got a very warm welcome from San Francisco Giants fans. He gave the team three good years, so it was nice to see this. He also had a decent game: a couple of hits, an RBI, and two runs scored.

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Santiago Casilla shall be acknowledged for his 1.1 no-hit no-BB scoreless innings of baseball. He helped to settle the game down when the Rangers were starting to mount a comeback. He will likely play a critical role in this series, as the Rangers have a plethora of hot-shot right-handed hitters: Elvis Andrus (debatable), Michael Young, Nelson Cruz, Vladimir Guerrero, Ian Kinsler, and the way he's hitting right now, Bengie Molina. The Giants don't have -- at this point -- a solid middle relief right-handed pitcher that they can trust. Sergio Romo was good all year. Ramon Ramirez was great for the Giants. Even Guillermo Mota had his good moments. But not one of them has shined in the postseason. Someone's gotta step up, and I think it'll be Casilla or Romo. We'll see how it unfolds. But if the Giants offense keeps having outbursts like these, it won't really matter.

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Nothing is predictable in the postseason. Everybody thought that the Roy Halladay v. Tim Lincecum matchup would be an amazing pitchers duel, but it was rather disappointing (not that they didn't pitch well). Everybody thought that the Cliff Lee v. Tim Lincecum matchup would be an amazing pitchers duel (Lee, Lincecum poised for Game 1 greatness), but it was quite the opposite.

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11 of the last 13 teams that have won Game One of the World Series have gone on to win the series. The Giants, if they win Game Two, will only need to win one of three games in Texas to stay in good shape. Winning Game One was huge. They did this to their ace, at ATT Park, which is not a hitters park, especially compared to the Ballpark in Arlington. Three wins away from a World Series Title. It feels good

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Sunday, October 24, 2010

Killing the Time

In anticipation of the World Series, here are several poorly-made photoshops...don't worry. I'll keep 'em coming. FEEL FREE TO SEND IN YOUR OWN SF-TEX PHOTOSHOPS to blog@splashingpumpkins.com!

Tim Lincecum and Josh Hamilton

Pat Burrell and Cliff Lee

Bengie Molina and Nate Schierholtz

Freddy Sanchez chewin' on some Colby Lewis

Brian Wilson and Elvis Andrus

NLCS Game Six Recap

WE'RE GOING TO THE WORLD SERIES!

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

NLCS Game Four Recap

Entering Wednesday's game, Buster Posey and Aubrey Huff had tallied a combined three hits in the NLCS. They broke out in Game Four with a combined seven hits...now that's the Huff and Posey we've all come to know and love.

This is how the Giants were meant to win ballgames...with the help of the two guys who drove their offense this year. Buster Posey and Aubrey Huff are the reason the Giants got this far. Finally, these first-time playoff participants are carrying their 2010 performance into the postseason.

And with that...the Giants are ONE GAME AWAY FROM THE WORLD SERIES.

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Game Summary:

First inning: Buster Posey knocks in Freddy Sanchez for the first run.

Third inning: Buster Posey hits an RBI double to give the Giants a 2-0 lead.

Fifth inning: Giants' lead falls apart...Phillies lead off with two consecutive singles, a sac bunt, and another single to bring the score to 2-1. Chase Utley singles, and Madison Bumgarner is then replaced with Santiago Casilla.

Casilla gives up a two-run double to Placido Polanco, intentionally walks Ryan Howard, hits Jayson Werth with a pitch, and allows the fourth run of the inning to score on a wild pitch.

Giants 2 Phillies 4

In the bottom half of the inning, Andres Torres draws a walk. He advances to second on a groundout, and scores on a single by Aubrey Huff.

Sixth inning: After Pat Burrell draws a walk and Cody Ross doubles, Pablo Sandoval gives the Giants a 5-4 lead with a two-run double.

Seventh inning: Javier Lopez pitches a scoreless innning.

Giants fail to score when Pablo Sandoval grounds into a double play with the bases loaded.

Eighth inning: Lopez allows a leadoff double to Ryan Howard. Sergio Romo replaces him, but immediately allows a double to Jayson Werth to tie the game at 5-5.

Ninth inning: Phillies bring in Roy Oswalt to pitch the ninth in a tied ballgame. Huff singles, Posey singles, and Juan Uribe hits a sacrifice fly to deep left field to win the ballgame in walkoff fashion.

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This was the seventh walkoff win for the Giants on the year. Uribe also had one on August 14, against the San Diego Padres. 

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Glad that Andres Torres got some more playing time today. He went one for two, showing signs of breaking out of his slump. With his speed, he was able to manufacture a run, advancing to second on a groundout after his walk, and scoring on a single. He was caught stealing after he singled in the eighth, though...I'll keep saying it: I want him out there in the field and in the starting lineup over Aaron Rowand. Defense is just too valuable. And when Torres gets hot, he's as good as anyone in the game of baseball (or at least, as good as any centerfielder and/or leadoff hitter).  

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Some things you can't see from just the box score:
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Buster Posey. He is everything that's good about the San Francisco Giants. Four hits -- including two doubles -- and two RBIs. All while spending nine innings behind the plate. Just an incredible kid. Derek Jeter, step aside! The face of the postseason for the next ten years is right here:




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Let's face it: Bumgarner wasn't spectacular in Game Four...4.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 6 K. But he's exceeded expectations. For him to come up this year, post a 3.00 ERA, and still be a vital part of this rotation in the postseason (so much so that he made the postseason roster easily but the Barry Zito and his 7-year $126MM contract couldn't) is incredible. He struck out six, and only gave up three earned runs. Against one of the best offenses in the majors. In a critical game. At age 21. Come on?! Even though the start wasn't great, what he did is pretty amazing. Hopefully this won't be the last time this postseason that he pitches.


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This was definitely the game of the series, and moreover, the game of the year. Everybody contributed: Posey, Ross, Torres, Uribe, Sandoval, Burrell, Huff. 

After watching this game, I can't say that the Phillies have any chance at the World Series. I just wouldn't believe it at this point. In an act of desperation, they used six pitchers today. 

Sure, they have Roy Halladay on the mound, and he is an innings-eater. But the game's in San Francisco. And the Giants have beaten Halladay twice this year. And the Phillies will be facing Tim Lincecum. And even if they win Game Five, they would still have to win the next two games, against very good pitching. I'd be very surprised if the Giants don't win this series. 

But...nothing can be taken for granted at this point.

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Ready for this?

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

NLCS Game Three Recap

Game Summary:

Matt Cain pitched an incredible game...seven scoreless innings, and just two hits allowed. Javier Lopez had a 1-2-3 eighth inning, and Brian Wilson pitched a scoreless ninth (including a game-ending double play) to shut down the Phillies in a 3-0 victory.

In terms of offensive support, there weren't many hits...the Giants accumulated five overall. But they managed to score three runs, thanks to an line-drive RBI single to left by Cody Ross (Mr. Orangetober), an RBI single through the hole on the right side courtesy of Aubrey Huff, and another RBI by Freddy Sanchez (he hit a line drive to second base which was misplayed by Chase Utley, allowing Aaron Rowand to score from second).

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Javier Lopez = Giants' set-up man. He's perfect for the role. I've been saying all along that he would be a key in this NLCS (against big powerful left-handed hitters like Ryan Howard, Chase Utley, Raul Ibanez...) and he had a very nice 1-2-3 eighth inning, including a strikeout against Howard. The big question mark, with the shuffling of the Phillies' lineup, was whether Lopez could handle Placido Polanco, a right-handed hitter sandwiched between Utley and Howard in the lineup. After his performance, I think he should certainly be put in this eighth inning role -- at least for the time being.

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Aaron Rowand went 1 for 3 as the Giants' starting center-fielder. He had a double, and scored the Giants' third run, but I'm still not convinced that he should be starting in centerfield against left-handed starters (or right-handed, for that matter). He had two strikeouts, and is never anything special on defense -- the way Andres Torres is. Jose Contreras really made Rowand look terrible in his eighth inning at-bat, getting him to swing over a splitter for strike three. I said it before, and I'll say it again, even after Rowand hit a double which led to one of the Giants' three runs...I'd rather have Torres out there. Defense is very important in these close games. Don't agree? Just ask Brooks Conrad...In a one-run game (not uncommon for the Giants), getting to a ball in the gap will make the difference between whoever wins and loses. Thus, I want Torres out there. He's not going to struggle for the entire postseason -- and even if he does, he can be moved to a spot in the lineup where he isn't making a huge impact. 

On that same note, however, Andres Torres didn't look too great in his one at-bat on Tuesday. He rolled over on a pitch for a weak groundout. 

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Cody Ross: Mr. Orangetober. It's official. He drove in a run in his fourth consecutive game...what he's doing is all the more important if you consider that he's doing it for a team that doesn't score many runs. The runs he's producing are extremely valuable, not just some solo home run to extend a lead to seven. 

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This is the formula for the Giants, ideally: great starting pitching, great relief work, and just enough offense to scrape on by. It works. It's worked thus far. It's continued to work...as long as they're solid on defense, and can have that clutch hit by Cody Ross, or possibly a home run by Huff, Posey, Burrell...they'll keep winning. 

This game is a critical turning point in the NLCS. The Giants are the obvious favorites at this point. Not only do they have a 2-1 lead in the series, but they have a better starting pitcher going tomorrow (Madison Bumgarner has had a much better year than Joe Blanton...) and they still have two more games left in San Francisco. 

The Giants are one step closer to disproving all of the baseball analysts who figured the Phillies would win the NLCS. They just keep on rolling...

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I made an another appearance on This Call to the Bullpen. You can listen to it here. Thanks again to Steve Keane for his graciousness.


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